Canvi climàtic: el cost de no fer-li front
Més sobre el canvi climàtic, segons el Finantial Times. En definitiva: les expectatives són que el temps ‘millorarà’ en els països nòrdics (això és, que hi farà més sol), mentre que ‘empitjorarà’ en els del sud (hi farà massa calor).
Conclusió: el turisme que fins ara baixava cap al Mediterrani a la recerca de bon temps, sol i calor raonable, ara anirà (o es quedarà) al nord.
La paradoxa de tot plegat: els països del sud d’Europa, màxims perjudicats pel canvi climàtic, són els menys conscients i els qui fan menys per frenar-lo. Coses de la vida. O no. (segueix)
Financial Times
Europe to suffer as the world warms up
By Andrew Bounds in Brussels
Published: January 5 2007 22:22 | Last updated: January 5 2007 22:22
Chilly northern Europe could reap big benefits from global warming, while the Mediterranean faces crippling shortages of both water and tourists by the middle of the century, according to the first comprehensive study of its effects on the continent.
Fewer in the north would die of cold, crops there would boom and the North Sea coast could become the new Riviera, an analysis to be approved by the European Commission next week shows. But the annual migration of rich northern Europeans to the south could stop ? with dramatic consequences for the economies of Spain, Greece and Italy.
A sixth of the world?s tourists ? 100m people annually ? head south within Europe for their holidays, spreading ?100bn ($130bn) of largesse with them. ?The more tourists stay home or go to other destinations, the larger the distributional impact in Europe will be,? says the paper, a copy of which has been obtained by the Financial Times.
While fewer people will perish of cold in the north, tens of thousands more will die of heat in the south. As many as 87,000 extra deaths a year would occur annually by 2071, assuming a three degree centigrade temperature rise. If efforts to curb greenhouse gas emissions limit the rise to 2.2 degrees, additional mortalities would be 36,000 a year.
These numbers are dwarfed by predicted deaths and economic chaos in the developing world.
The Commission?s environment directorate compiled the report with data from Brussels? satellite monitoring service and a review of the latest evidence.
Font: BBC