Jaume Renyer

per l'esquerra de la llibertat

24 de setembre de 2018
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Conflictes ètnics a l’Iran: kurds, àrabs i balutxis

Atemptat del proppassat dissabte contra una desfilada dels Guardians de la Revolució a Ahvaz ha tingut un gran impacte multidimensional no solament a l’Iran sinó en els diversos fronts oberts a escala regional. Pel que fa a la situació interna, el règim teocràtic xiïta ha de fer front al descontentament de la població per causes soci-economiques i especialment a tres conflictes ètnics: els kurds, els àrabs i el balutxis que lluiten des de fa dècades contra l’estat integrista que exerceix la dominació de la majoria persa.

James M. Dorsey va publicar el proppassat 26 d’agost aqueix report als Perspectives Paper número 931, del Begin-Sadat Center, sobre les protestes de les minories ètniques sotmeses al règim dels aiatol·là: “Amid Ethnic Protests, Iran Warns of Foreign Meddling“.

D’entre les moltes interpretacions possibles sobre l’autoria de l’atac d’Ahvaz, aqueixa d’avui a L’Orient-Le Jour “Les tenants et les aboutissants de l’attentat d’Ahvaz“, subscrita per Caroline Hayek i Anthony Samrani em sembla de les més ben documentades. Malgrat la reivindicació del Califat Islàmic el règim concentra la seva fúria repressiva contra les organitzacions dels separatistes àrabs i els cercles d’exiliats a diversos estats europeus.

Pel que fa a la resistència kurda, l’activitat guerrillera és creixent des de fa pocs anys (en català podem seguir l’evolució dels esdeveniments mitjançant el digital KurdisCat).

Pel que fa a la causa balutxi, Jordi Llaonart manté el bloc “Interpretant el món àrab i l’islam” que ocasionalment aporta informacions ben documentades. Previsiblement aqueixos tres conflictes interns aniran agreujant-se atesa la incapacitat del règim islamista per reformar-se i negociar sobre les reivindicacions nacionals d’aqueixos tres pobles.

Post Scriptum, 18 d’octubre del 2018.

Jamal Nasir és un dirigent del Free Balochistan Mouvement que el proppassat 13 d’aqueix mes va publicar al Jerusalem Post l’article titulat: “The Baloch People in Iran’s Grip“, sobre l’opressió del règim iranià sobre el seu poble. L’article de presentació d’aqueix moviment independentista també ha estat divulgat en francès per Jewish Forum ja que respon a l’interès estratègic d’Israel per afavorir la causa nacional dels balutxis i els kurds contra la dictadura islàmica iraniana.

Post Scriptum, 31 d’octubre del 2018.

El proppassat 27 d’aqueix mes Jordi Llaonart va publicar al seu bloc Interpretant el món àrab i l’islam aqueix apunt: “Ahwaz, una nació sense estat ni aigua potable”. Avui també, l’edició francesa de Jewish Forum informa que el Mosad ha ajudat la policia danesa a desarticular un projecte d’atemptat iranià contra uns refugiats àrabs de l’Ahwaz.

Post Scriptum, 23 de novembre del 2019.

De fa una setmana les revoltes populars arreu de l’Iran apleguen totes les ètnies oprimides pel règim teocràtic islamista que ha respost amb una brutalitat encara superior a l’emprada per reprimir les manifestacions de l’any passat i les de fa deu anys. Les autoritats han tallat totalment l’accés a internet aïllant-lo del món com cap altre estat ha aconseguit fer fins ara i ha causat més de 285 víctimes i més de tres mil ferits i set mil detinguts.

Post Scriptum, 25 de febrer del 2020.

Jonathan Spyer va publicar el 12 de març de l’any passat un documentat anàlisi sobre els grups armats d’oposició al règim iranià a The Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security: “Armed Opposition Groups in Iran”.

Post Scriptum, 23 de juny del 2021.

Arvin Khoshnood publica avui als Mideast Security and Policy Studies No. 193, editats pel BESA Center, aqueix report: ASMLA: An Empirical Exploration of an Ethno-Nationalist Terrorist Organization: The Arab Struggle Movement for the Liberation of Ahwaz (ASMLA) is an ethno-nationalist Sunni Muslim organization that strives to establish an independent Arab state, Ahvaz, within the borders of Iran. The group is active through various front organizations in Europe. Its armed wing, the Mohiuddin Nasser Brigade, has conducted several armed attacks inside Iran. Several of those attacks, especially those committed by the organization in its early days, killed civilians.

In 2018, as part of the umbrella organization Ahvaz National Resistance, ASMLA claimed responsibility for a terrorist attack against a military parade in the city of Ahvaz that occurred on September 22. This attack resulted in 25 deaths and more than 60 injured, including many civilians.

ASMLA’s two branches are headquartered in Denmark and the Netherlands. In 2020, Danish and Dutch authorities arrested three ASMLA leaders on suspicion of participation in terrorism and espionage on behalf of Saudi Arabia against Iran. The trial of the three began on April 29, 2021, and is still ongoing.

This report, which is based on primary source materials issued by ASMLA, critically investigates the organization’s objectives, origins, and operations and draws the conclusion that ASMLA is an ethno-nationalist terrorist organization.

Post Scriptum, 1 d’agost del 2021.

Arvin Khoshnood, publicà el proppassat 28 de juliol aqueix report al BESA Center: “Demonstrations in Iranian Khuzestan Demand an End to the Islamic Regime“. Per la seva part, Jordi Llaonart publica avui al seu bloc Interpretant el món àrab i l’islam aqueix apunt: “Revolta a Ahwaz, una nació sense estat ni aigua potable”.

Post Scriptum, 24 de setembre del 2022.

Avui el Consell Nacional de la Resistència d’Iran informa: “Au 8e jour, le soulèvement national s’est étendu à 133 villes de 31 provinces malgré la répression brutale”, amb més d’un centenar de morts.

Post Scriptum, 17 de novembre del 2022.

Avui l’analista del Jerusalem Post Seth J. Frantzman explica com la revolta en curs contra el règim entra en fase d’insurrecció armada menada sobretot per les minories nacionals oprimides: “Iran’s regime worried protests entering an ‘armed phase’. Iran is worried that several recent incidents in Iran point to a growing chance that the two-month-old protests are becoming increasingly violent. From the regime’s point of view, violence is a problem when it spills over and when the protesters may have arms.

Post Scriptum, 23 de novembre del 2023.

L’analista nordamericà especialitzat en la qüestió kurda, Zach D. Huff, publica avui al Jerusalem Post aqueix article: The US should delist this Iranian Kurdish ‘terror’ group.

Post Scriptum, 13 de març del 2024.

Mordechai Kedar  publica avui al Jerusalem Post “The secret to taking down the Iranian regime: Iran’s ethnic minorities”.

As we speak, the Iranian nuclear threat is growing by the hour. Decision-makers in the United States and Europe are increasingly alarmed as Iran is using the distraction created by the Gaza war to enrich uranium at 90%. Everyone knows that no civilian nuclear program requires enrichment at such a high level. Therefore, it is greatly feared that Iran will soon have a nuclear weapon that will threaten Israel, America, Europe, and the entire free world. The question is: How can we best topple Iran’s nuclear program? The answer is regime change instigated by Iran’s ethnic minorities.

Iran’s ethnic minorities have every imaginable reason to rebel. After Mahsa Amini, a Kurdish girl, was brutally murdered for protesting against Iran’s repressive hijab laws, Iran’s ethnic groups have been united in seeking more autonomy and freedom from the central government in Tehran. These groups are outraged that the Iranian regime represses the Azerbaijani, Kurdish, Baloch, and Arabic languages in regions of Iran populated by Iran’s ethnic minorities.

Furthermore, all of these ethnic groups have suffered from environmental terrorism waged by the regime in Tehran. One brutal example is the plight of Lake Urmia in South Azerbaijan, which is in danger of drying up due to Persian ecological terror. As a result, the South Azerbaijanis, over the past year, have not only protested against such ecological terror and for the release of prisoners but also have sought independence from the mullah’s regime. The South Azerbaijani community, like all of Iran’s ethnic groups, has suffered due to Iran’s brutal repression of dissent.

Iran executed 834 people last year, the highest number since 2015. This represents a 43% increase from the previous year. “Instilling societal fear is the regime’s only way to hold on to power, and the death penalty is its most important instrument,” said IHR (Norway-based Iran Human Rights) director Mahmood Amiry-Moghaddam.

“The Islamic Republic’s violent repression of peaceful dissent and severe discrimination against women and girls in Iran have been confirmed as constituting nothing short of crimes against humanity,” said Hadi Ghaemi, executive director of the Center for Human Rights in Iran (CHRI). “The government’s brutal crackdown on the ‘Woman, Life, Freedom’ protests has seen a multitude of atrocities that include extrajudicial killings, torture, and rape. These violations disproportionately affect the most vulnerable in society – women, children, and minority groups,” he added.

Dr. Sarang Zeynizadeh, an Azerbaijani human rights activist based in the United States, proclaimed: “Azerbaijani Turks, concentrated mainly in the oil-poor northwest of Iran (along the border with Turkey, Armenia, and Azerbaijan), make up an estimated one-fourth of Iran’s population of 70 million. Azerbaijanis often claim a population share close to 40 percent, a number that includes ethnic brethren such as the Turkmen, Qashqais, and other Turkic-speaking groups.”

If the South Azerbaijanis alone rebel against the regime in Tehran, it will be a fatal blow to the mullahs. If, on the other hand, they unite with the Kurds, Baloch, Ahwaz, and other ethnic minorities and fight for regime change, the mullahs will be finished and their nuclear program relegated to the dustbins of history. Therefore, if the international community cares about bringing a quick halt to Iran’s nuclear program, they should be doing everything needed to prop up all of Iran’s ethnic minorities who seek to secede from the regime and create independent ethnic states in what is currently Iran.

Once that happens, the threat of Hezbollah, Hamas, and the dozens of pro-Iranian militias in Iraq, Syria, and Yemen will be quickly diminished, and the prospects for Israel and the entire Middle East living in peace and security will greatly increase. Independent ethnic states will have closer relations with the West, Russia will lose its arms supplier, and China will have to change its policies vis-à-vis the West, which will have good relations with the Arab state of Ahwaz, the source of Iranian oil and gas.

In conclusion, after the collapse of the Iranian conglomerate and the emergence of five to six ethnic states from its ruins – just like happened in the former Soviet Union, when Yugoslavia and Czechoslovakia separated into individual, peaceful ethnic countries –the world will be a better and safer place.

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